UPDATE: A new poll released just hours before the crucial New York City mayoral election reveals an electrifying showdown between socialist Democrat Zohran Mamdani and former Governor Andrew Cuomo. The AtlasIntel poll shows Mamdani leading with 43.9% support, closely trailed by Cuomo at 39.4%. Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa stands at 15.5%, having faced calls to withdraw and consolidate opposition against Cuomo.
The latest figures indicate a dramatic shift in voter sentiment as the race heats up ahead of the polls closing on November 2, 2025. If the election were a two-person contest, Cuomo would secure 49.7% of the vote compared to Mamdani’s 44.1%. This marks a tightening gap and underscores the urgency of this election.
The poll, which sampled 2,404 respondents, reveals significant demographic divides. Among women, Cuomo leads with 45.1% compared to Mamdani’s 37.4%, while Mamdani dominates among male voters with 50.9% support to Cuomo’s 33%. The youth vote is pivotal; Mamdani captures an impressive 62.2% among voters aged 18-29, while Cuomo holds 54.3% of voters aged 65 and older.
The stakes are high, with projections suggesting that total voter turnout could exceed 2 million for the first time since 1969, driven by strong early voting. The dynamics of the race have shifted markedly in recent weeks as calls for Sliwa to step aside have gained traction, impacting his support, which has dropped from 24% to 15.5% in the latest poll.
Stephen Graves, an analyst with Gotham Polling, notes that increased turnout typically favors moderate candidates, which could benefit Cuomo, who is gaining traction among independent voters. “As the turnout gets larger, it leans more moderate and brings in the independents,” Graves stated.
With the polls open, the electorate is poised for a historic decision. The urgency of the moment is palpable, with voter sentiment heavily influencing the race’s outcome. The final hours of campaigning are critical as candidates make their last appeals to constituents.
As the clock ticks down, all eyes are on New York City. Will Mamdani’s youthful appeal secure him victory, or will Cuomo’s established presence sway enough voters to reclaim the mayor’s office? Stay tuned for live updates as this intense race unfolds.
